Is the dollar still
being debased?

READ4 min · UPDATED
Reviewed against primary sources cited at the bottom of this page.

A live scorecard of the five numbers that show fiat debasement in real time: how fast the money supply is growing, what official inflation admits, what it costs to borrow, and how Bitcoin, the exit, is priced. Pulled from public Federal Reserve data, no account or login required.

THE SHORT VERSION

Yes. The money supply (M2) is growing +5.58% year-over-year while official inflation (CPI) admits +4.17%: dollars are being created faster than measured prices rise. Borrowing stays expensive, a 30-year mortgage at 6.47% and the 10-year Treasury at 4.51%. Bitcoin, the escape hatch, is down about 40% in dollars over the past year, which is what a volatile multi-year exit looks like mid-cycle, not a refutation of the thesis. The table below refreshes from primary sources; the figures in this paragraph are the latest snapshot.

MetricLatestAs of1-month1-year
M2 money supply $23.05T2026-05-01+1.09%+5.58%
CPI (price level) 333.982026-05-01+0.47%+4.17%
30-year fixed mortgage 6.47%2026-06-18+0.11 pp-0.34 pp
10-year Treasury yield 4.51%2026-06-22-0.05 pp+0.13 pp
Bitcoin (the exit) $62,7802026-06-24-18.09%-40.45%

Snapshot shown until live data loads · data refreshed 2026-06-24 · rate moves shown in percentage points (pp)

How fast is the money supply growing?

M2 is the broad measure of dollars in the system: cash, checking, savings, and money-market balances. It is up +5.58% over the past year ×DON'T TRUST, VERIFYClaim: M2 (FRED M2SL) is the broad U.S. money supply and its year-over-year change is shown above.Verify at: FRED M2SL ↗Monthly series from the Federal Reserve; this page reads it directly.. For context, M2 grew roughly 41% in the 25 months from 2020 to 2022, the fastest peacetime expansion on record. The chart below is the long view since 1971, the year the dollar was cut from gold.

Is official inflation keeping up with the money printing?

No, and the gap is the point. CPI, the government's official price index, is up +4.17% year-over-year ×DON'T TRUST, VERIFYClaim: CPI (FRED CPIAUCSL) year-over-year change is shown above.Verify at: FRED CPIAUCSL ↗Headline CPI for all urban consumers, seasonally adjusted., while M2 grew 5.58%. When the money supply outruns the official price level, the spread shows up later, in asset prices and in the cost of the things CPI underweights. A 4.17% price rise means a dollar held for a year lost about 4.0% of its purchasing power.

What do mortgage and Treasury rates say?

Money is still expensive. The 30-year fixed mortgage sits at 6.47% ×DON'T TRUST, VERIFYClaim: The Freddie Mac 30-year fixed rate (FRED MORTGAGE30US) is shown above.Verify at: FRED MORTGAGE30US ↗Weekly Freddie Mac Primary Mortgage Market Survey. and the 10-year Treasury, the benchmark for the price of money, yields 4.51% ×DON'T TRUST, VERIFYClaim: The 10-year Treasury constant-maturity yield (FRED DGS10) is shown above.Verify at: FRED DGS10 ↗Daily constant-maturity Treasury yield from the U.S. Treasury via FRED.. Rate moves are shown in percentage points because that is how borrowing cost actually changes.

Is Bitcoin failing as an inflation hedge?

Over the last 12 months, no, it is down about 40% in dollars. Over any four-year window in its history, the opposite. Bitcoin is a multi-cycle, high-volatility store of value, not a one-year inflation swap; judging the thesis on a single down year is the same mistake as judging stocks in March 2009. The honest version of this argument, including the years it has lagged, is in the inflation-hedge breakdown. What this dashboard shows is the setup: a money supply that keeps growing while the exit is on sale.

How is this dashboard sourced and updated?

Every number comes from a free primary source and is fetched server-side into a same-origin snapshot, no third-party scripts, no API keys in your browser. M2, CPI, the mortgage rate, and the Treasury yield come from FRED (Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis); the Bitcoin price comes from CoinMetrics. The raw files are public: /data/macro.json and /data/btc.json. How and why we cite everything is on the verify page.

NO ADS · NO AFFILIATES · NO PAYWALL

This page exists because the data is free and the math is yours to check. If it helped, a tip (on-chain Bitcoin only) keeps it that way.

Last updated 2026-06-24

Subscribe via RSS for new articles.