Solo mining:
your real odds of finding a block.
Enter your hash rate. See your honest probability of winning the block-reward lottery per day, per year, and over a lifetime. The math is exactly like a lottery, except the odds don't change.
Default: 6.59 TH/s (roughly 4x Bitaxe Gamma Duo).
Exahashes per second. 1 EH/s = 1,000,000 TH/s.
3.125 BTC after the April 2024 halving. Next halving ~2028.
Think of this as a lottery ticket that never expires. Most solo miners never find a block. Some find one in their first week.
What this tool assumes
- Solo-mining probability of finding a block depends on your hashrate share of total network hashrate.
- Payout is lumpy; expected value is identical to pool mining minus pool fees.
Network hash rate changes daily. Verify current figure at mempool.space/mining before quoting odds.
HOW THIS IS CALCULATED
This tool runs entirely in your browser — no data is sent to any server. All formulas use standard financial math. Verify the methodology or inspect the source code in your browser's dev tools.