Tools · Allocation Risk
Your portfolio
in four scenarios.
Enter your total investable assets and Bitcoin allocation. See your portfolio value if Bitcoin goes to zero, stays flat, runs 10x, or runs 100x. Size your position to survive the zero scenario.
IN BITCOIN
$0
0 BTC
IN OTHER ASSETS
$0
FOUR SCENARIOS (today snapshot)
BTC TO ZERO
$0
0%
BTC FLAT
$0
today
BTC 10x
$0
BTC 100x
$0
THE ZERO TEST
Allocation ranges from Bitcoin Allocation: 1-5% conservative, 5-15% moderate, 15-40% high conviction, 40%+ Bitcoin-first. None is universally right. The test is whether the zero scenario is survivable for you.
What this tool assumes
- Scenarios are hypothetical (0x, 1x, 10x, 100x); past performance does not predict future returns.
- Rebalancing is not modeled; outcomes assume the allocation is untouched.
Not financial advice. Size to survive the zero scenario.
HOW THIS IS CALCULATED
This tool runs entirely in your browser — no data is sent to any server. All formulas use standard financial math. Verify the methodology or inspect the source code in your browser's dev tools.